That is my hypothesis, at an’perfect’ world at which each team could stay unchanged over fourteen days, as an instance, will the points earned at the first season provide a reliable enough dimension of performance in order to help the football bettor to predict outcomes in the next season. The aim is always to earn a profit.
1 crucial factor is the existing grading system of 3 points per win, a point to get a draw and also (clearly ) no points for a loss. What about a team who consistently draw, in a season they would earn 38 points. A second team who acquire half of their matches and lose the spouse would earn 5 7 points. So, will the points system accurately accelerate teams abilities? . In case it can why would the teams above have this kind of gap in things? .ทางเข้า fifa55
As an illustration, comparing two operation figures to get a coming match in the next season may give figures such as 60 points for one team and 50 points to one other, these figures have been supplied from the final league table leads to its very first season. It’s apparent these two figures would not be sufficient to generate an accurate assessment of the consequent game.
The chance I have tried so far is:-
Compute a typical goals scored a match for each team separately, then computing a typical distribution of aims for this team. Then join both team’s distributions giving prices for all types of results.
Additional elements like home advantage needs considering therefore two distributions per team (like home and off ) might require attention.
Football is an unpredictable game too, some teams always do well against the other team and so on. In each scenario the factor could require the forecast to be tweaked.